Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Uncle Frank 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Keen Cat 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Secret Vista 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Fahan 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Davidic Line 1.80 3.3 6-1
5 5 Gold Crusher 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Its a Wrap 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Little Mia 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Flying I 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Zipping Molly 15.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Run Away Samari 3.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Wheresthecartgirl 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Share the Doe 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Bell Pepper 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Naturalbornsender 5.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Boston Belle 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Kimberly’s Jackpot 20.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Kancancutie 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 All American Pat 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sweet Revival 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Secret Guitar 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Wheels Like Nala 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Blueridgeballerina 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Reine Le Fer 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Time to Close 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Dee’s Lil Fool 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Acesanddiamonds 8.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Jax’s Starry Bride 20.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Sweetheart Vision 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Two Worlds 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Double Trap 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 I Will Stand 2.50 5 9-1
3 3 Hullinahurry 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Birthday Party 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Big Brother 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Vangilder 6.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Tensas Toddy 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Tappin Fora Dance 12.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 B W P Special 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Color Fast 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bonus Appreciation 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Astrology Girl 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Runtolive 4.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Ready for Thunder 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Real Deal Ryan 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jaydyn Cat 2.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Sarah’s Court 3.50 7.3 14-1
6 6 Despeightful 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Cankton’s Cowgirl 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tennessee Moon 0 0-1
1 1 Tennessee Moon 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Glance 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Saenz 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Blessed Anna 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Miss Darlene 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Bar Tap 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Roses Are Gray 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Xcaret 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Katie’s Karat 10.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Gimme Candy 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Blue Ridge Queen 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Kan She 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bandit’s Pride 5.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 The Calling Stone 3.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 New Destiny 6.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Megans Millions 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Porto Del Ace 10.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Molli Way 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 Runlikelanie 8.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Sthepanie Princess 15.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Hart’s Pretty Girl 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ghost Cowboy 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Iron N Steel 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Run On Aces 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 R T’s d’Oro 10.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Stray Cat Strut 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Call Me Firey 8.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Treasure Coast 15.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 R T’s Iron Man 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Carlos’s Mama 12.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Party Gras 6.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Little Warrior 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.