Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vingativa | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | General Robinson | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Diamond | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tribute | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Subtle Faith | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tovia | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | India Pilaga (ARG) | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gratia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Legendary Phantom | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jabran | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapuche | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spoken Bluntly | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Insisting | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Canavero | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uzziah | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guaio | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Simsoum | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eastside Cool | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coppermaster | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Drama | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Ollie | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Pure | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gilded Age | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bringer of Rain | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spettro | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surrogate | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Endless Sunset | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Globes | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kingdom On Paws | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tepeu | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Orbi One | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mount Horeb | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Springs | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scat Tu Tap | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fly Right | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swordofhonor (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Black Fury | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Porquerolles | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unit Economics (GB) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kake’s Arrow | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tizaduke | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Storm Ready | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Party With Smarty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hay Hay Harry | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | For Some Reason | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Toby | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Khopesh | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pack Plays | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cruzin for Chaos | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jiggery Pokery | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | No Problem Joe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | I Believe in Magic | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dubstep | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hits Different | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stuck in Malibu | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bletchley Girl | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | L. E. Gray | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goodbetterbest | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stride | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backchat | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thethrillofvictory | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Born a Gambler | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swashbuckle | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mehlek | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gambling Holiday | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | K. C. Chief | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Assiduously (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Faith | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Loyal Louie | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doc Amster | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Volkert | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pico d’Oro | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cross Haste | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amor Lejano (ARG) | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle B | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.