Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vingativa 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 General Robinson 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Whiskey Diamond 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Tribute 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Subtle Faith 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tovia 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 India Pilaga (ARG) 30.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Gratia 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Legendary Phantom 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Jabran 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Tapuche 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Spoken Bluntly 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Insisting 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Canavero 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Uzziah 30.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Guaio 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Simsoum 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Eastside Cool 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Coppermaster 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Noble Drama 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Sir Ollie 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 American Pure 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Gilded Age 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bringer of Rain 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Spettro 2.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Surrogate 1.80 1.4 3-1
6 6 Endless Sunset 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Globes 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Kingdom On Paws 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Tepeu 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Orbi One 15.00 1 2-1
10 10 Mount Horeb 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Malibu Springs 4.00 1.6 3-1
11 11 Scat Tu Tap 10.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Fly Right 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Swordofhonor (IRE) 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Black Fury 30.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Porquerolles 12.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Unit Economics (GB) 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Kake’s Arrow 20.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Tizaduke 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Storm Ready 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Party With Smarty 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hay Hay Harry 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 For Some Reason 0.80 1.2 2-1
6 6 Big Toby 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Khopesh 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Pack Plays 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cruzin for Chaos 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Jiggery Pokery 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 No Problem Joe 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 I Believe in Magic 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dubstep 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Hits Different 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Stuck in Malibu 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Bletchley Girl 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 L. E. Gray 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Goodbetterbest 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stride 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Backchat 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Thethrillofvictory 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Born a Gambler 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Swashbuckle 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Mehlek 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Gambling Holiday 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 K. C. Chief 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Assiduously (GB) 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Frosted Faith 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Loyal Louie 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Doc Amster 15.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Volkert 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Pico d’Oro 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Cross Haste 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Amor Lejano (ARG) 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Uncle B 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.