Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Belle Epoque 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Sugar Fish 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 We’ll Do It Live 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Eleven Out of Ten 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Nanci Griffith 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Jazzy Empress 20.00 3 6-1
3 3 Creative Quality 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Rainbow 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Miss Miche Lada 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Stay Up 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Donita Rose 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Cat On the Run 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Headed for Om 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Club Ribbon 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 North East Star (IRE) 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Dolly May (IRE) 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Leopardess (GB) 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Ankyrah 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 De Joria 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Zzyzx 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Yvett’s Surprise 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Really Thirsty 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Chasing Kat 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 The Fence 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Be a Goldfish 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Big Pop 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Easter Coming Back 20.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Roberta’s Love 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ruff Ride 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Sensible Move 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Illhaveanotherkiss 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Turiaf 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Abhita 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Jessebear 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Roman Empress 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Court Snort 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 J Dutton 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Cody Boy 4.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Two by Four 1.60 1.7 3-1
3 3 Uncle Chilly 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Vodka Vodka 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Known Idea 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Commander D 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 First Peace 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Panic Alarm (IRE) 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Reiquist 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Lovesick Blues 5.00 2.4 4-1
8 6 Beef Winslow 2.50 2.5 5-1
10 8 Doncic 4.00 3.4 7-1
9 7 Mas Rapido (GB) 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Nabokov 20.00 5 9-1
5 98 Cane Creek Road 0.00 SCRATCH
6 98 Mubtadaa 0.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Mackinnon 6.00 SCRATCH
12 10 Zoffarelli (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mor Tequila 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Will Be 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Matanzas Creek 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Sharp Aza Tack 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Good Vibes Only 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Tarantino 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Douseawhatisea 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mega Moon 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Autoline (IRE) 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Lahaina Flavor 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Sanger 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 Remote 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Crypto Man 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Numero Dix (GB) 8.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Smooth Salute 5.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Gold Council 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.