Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Roll Gypsy Roll | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twisted Brade | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Geaux Vote | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Vickie | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beat the Double | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daring Darian | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Absolutely Mindy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Summertime Peppers | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prodigy Paradise | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Loudthundrhevyrain | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hymn for Carlos | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Real Deal | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe T | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Road | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kit Kat Kidd | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jamaican Me | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It’s a Bird | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Butch Womble | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Analysis | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hail the Cat | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carlos’ Blast | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Play Master | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Xanthus Wrath | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runtoday | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Smooth | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Extirpator | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Four Sevens | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Indimaaj | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muffin Nuts | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Wimbledon Bay | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Quality | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Brad | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | All of Us | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drag Malibu | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Lover | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tha Illest Deal | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love a Fighter | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Robust | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | From Pit to Palace | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graphene Cassock | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truvy’s Bandit | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Prix de West | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit Twice | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alphin | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Uncle Billy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal de Be | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying in Hot | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Fist | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lacie Be Good | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Another Hot Mess | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dashyns Dream | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Friend Amy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alliaceous | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nomadic Pride | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zing | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A P Humor | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bless d’South | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Come What Mae | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arms Apriority | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Takin Over | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Katie’s C | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Amen | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sadie’s Ransom | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Two Step | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.