Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mrs. Speaker 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Requestforproposal 2.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Search 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Freeform 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Luminous Ruler 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Gray Pearl 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nicely Unified 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Fist City 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Hot Golden Girl 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Giant Tude 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Carolina Jacy 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Aurora Australis 20.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 My Sugar Fix 20.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Jazz Jazz Jazz 30.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Emilyhasherturn 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sonya Knows Better 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Slick and Fast 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Single Shot 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Go Brother Go 20.00 3 6-1
9 9 Viking Legacy 8.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Cajun Crazy 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Marvins’ Posse 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Ricky Right 10.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Ole Stud Muffin 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Snakebit 30.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Catchin Drama 20.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Racy Bille 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tonteria 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Boston Blitz 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Broadway Star 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Adiamondinthestorm 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Delightful Halo 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Red Whistle 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Imma Madi Tue 5.00 5 9-1
2 2 She Has It All 2.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Pot’s Paycheck 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Just Battle 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Treaty 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Action Seeker 12.00 4 8-1
10 10 Butler Cabin 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Clarestown 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Devil’s Harvest 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Temple City Run 20.00 9.3 18-1
12 12 Ricky Bobby 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 My Romeo Lima 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sivako 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Running Late 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 El Perfecto 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Microphone (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Naughty Lottie 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Onerollofthedice 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Bali Dreamin 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sally’s Suprise 10.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Brewhouse 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Take Charge Woman 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Miss Tulsa 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Yolanda Who 4.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Shellby 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Committee of One 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Works for Me 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Sponge Bath 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Gabarra 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Classic Power (IRE) 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Scat Free 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Drewmania 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Smokey Smokey 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Controlled Temper 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Jilly’s West 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Maylen 8.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Jocelyn 15.00 4 7-1
9 9 Wec Keah 4.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 Sweet Marin 30.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Tootoo Tourist 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Hard Exit 6.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Keepem Safe 6.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Pink Lady Lu Sha 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Miss Pearl Hart 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.