Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chanisa | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crown Thirty | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | House of Magic | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’oro Street | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Girl in Red | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Keepsake | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pioneer Parade | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Key to Success | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Summer of Mischief | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Always Smiling | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risky Spirit | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sammies Samurai | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coromandel | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mamba Out | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pat’s Gal | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Sweet Candy | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Byzantine | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cupid’s Music | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wreaking Havoc | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Thorn Crown | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miri a Coincidence | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Communication Memo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speitful Sam | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Dixie | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forsaken | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Sharpie | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Invariably | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miri a Coincidence | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Roman Giant | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Easy Big Boy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reup | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chelsea Dagger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cost Basis | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Heart | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Tuff | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slam Dunk Sermon | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Violent Gigi | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Under the Gun | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wellman | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Black Storm | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Populist | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Press Snooze | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alpine Thunder | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Adiva | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jubilant Joanie | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful and Bold | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wildwood Enough | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chip Shortage | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kitiara | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Cajun Lady | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlottes Way | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missy Piggy | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Courageous Cappen | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Betty Jo | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Guided Arrow | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Phantom Ride | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trigger Happy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Armagnac | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Constitution | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Long Crow | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | City of Clouds | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deep State | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Franco | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henro | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Ride for Sul | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Orange Diablo | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top Gun Rocket | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | World Fair | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Braven | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gonna Be All Right | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Henro | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Major Mack | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ronaldinho | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strasse | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Swede | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blow Torch | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Wide Awake | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Junior Bug | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shacks Way | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burninhunkoflove | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Born Flawless | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eternally Grateful | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shackleford Strong | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chapel Barn | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Doc | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King Russell | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Lord Vicente (ARG) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Harlocap | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B Minor | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Sunset | 1.40 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Vicente (ARG) | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Game Keeper | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Russell | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Houdini | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | When I Look At You | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wise Miss | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What’s Her Number | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lite It Up Louie | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pam Pam | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alamo | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lead With Speed | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just an Opinion | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | St. Olaf Rose | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All Things Go | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foxy Zorra | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.