Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sneak a Smile 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Ghostly Act 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Forty Niner Gold 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Rhythem On Stage 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Billbernjoejohnick 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Dark Marcus 4.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Evertoriano 50.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Court Snort 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Satoshi 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Tizzy Twister 2.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sand to Sea 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sweet Hello 2.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stressed 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Teen Drama 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Paleo’s Princess 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Awesome Taylor 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 New Collection (GB) 3.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Dulce Emma 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Criticism 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Avoir 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Pacific Rose 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Pace Lane 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Petite Ange 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Queen Girvin 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Ang N Ash 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Topolina 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Golden Prayer 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Inner Beauty (IRE) 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Yolo Calls 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Dendera 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Ice Queen 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Red Diamond 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gungagungagalunga 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 One Smokin Moon 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Yo Yo Mama 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Half Nelson 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Aspirational 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Raucous Tizzy 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 No Can Quit 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Miss Commander 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Heywoods Beach 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Aligato 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Sbagliato 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Calm Sea 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Order and Law 12.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Malibu Coast 20.00 2.8 5-1
11 10 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 3.50 3.1 6-1
10 9 Single Track Mind (IRE) 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Resultant 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 98 Explain This Audit 0.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Living Life 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Never Seen Before (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tiz Tok 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Elector 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Midnight Fury 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Seattle Breakout 20.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Play Chicken 20.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Arrest 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Montana 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Oncoming 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The Shushala 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Shamrockin 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Someone Like You 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Quick Kate 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Recalcitrant 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Safa 5.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Prancingthruparis 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Satellite Heart 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Back On Track 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Clubhouse Bride 5.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Dorie Miller 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Grease Missle 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.