Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mo Damorninggrouch 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Steppin’ Hawk 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Ukrainian Princess 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 First Class Cat 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Our Reward 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Dreaming of Carli 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Maxing the Bank 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Prince of Pharoahs 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Colloquy 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Sundaeswithsandy 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Bourbon Chase 1.80 3.7 7-1
2 2 General Banker 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Lobsta 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mouly 0 0-1
1 1 Anileate 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Jolly Miss Jill 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Will Be Famous 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Mouly 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lincolnville Beach 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Belle of the Ball 5.00 5 9-1
3 3 Dolce Sera 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Voleuse 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Yankee Agate 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ghostly Girl 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Frannie Lew 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Hypnocurrency 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Irish Jackson 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mytown Myrules 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Agility 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Youbetterbejoking 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Dr. Settle’s Dream 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Blue Plate Special 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Whenlovetakesover 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Red D G P 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Honed 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 9 Scotto 30.00 6.6 12-1
1A 8 Screaming Uncle 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Perno 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Uptomykneesinit 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Irish Tenor 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Silver Satin 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 French Banker 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Romantic Charmer 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Feline Treasure 30.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 That’s Money 2.50 6.8 13-1
4 4 Irie Man 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Triple Word Score 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Ruthless S.) – Ruthless S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reconcile 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Halina’s Forte 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Value Area 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Low Society 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Tiarella 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Ghalia Princess 2.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Most of All 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 True Empress 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Ghostbustin 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Little Linzee 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Easy Play 10.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Luna’s Song 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Mim 6.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Bussia 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Newsdley 8.00 9 17-1
7 7 Quick Power Nap 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Broadway S.) – Broadway S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kant Hurry Love 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sweetest Princess 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Venti Valentine 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Majestic Return 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Security Code 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Gone and Forgotten 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Golden Rocket 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Bustin Bay 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arrebato 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bargaining Power 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Memphis 2.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Guard of Honour 20.00 2.6 5-1
1A 11 Deputy Connect 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 South Street 15.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Uncle Water Flow 6.00 3.6 7-1
11 12 Opportunity Set 10.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Connect the Brocks 30.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Ice Road 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Papi On Ice 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Screw Loose 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.