Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prizeless | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alterana | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Sword | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can Man Do | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alleva | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jazzy Justin | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In the Arch | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Double Thunder | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver N Lai | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duke of Blue Ridge | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hunter Quick | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonus Appreciation | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mias Moonbeam | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sermononthemount | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Samurai’s Grandson | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El It | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Clyde Jester | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Parker Now | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poppy T | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Trip | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gloria’s Boy | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Warrior | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slew City Henry | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chelsea’s Glory | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Clearly a Jet | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Trippin On Beauty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mor Big Lee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | C C’s Legacy | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | New Dice | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barahin | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bulletsrevenge | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nocomet | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Plenty of Cents | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Itellyouthefacts | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Priority | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Guest Check | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dusty Hill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Easy Big Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Blast | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Way Out Front | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Defiant Malice | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | North of Bali | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tissa | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | F Fourfifty | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Capitan George | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobulinski | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smarty’s Back | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Day Jo | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mind On My Money | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oak Hill Solution | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Crown | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saber Run | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Rachel | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Customize My Quest | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Thimble | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gottatakehimto | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mean Cruiser | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Calabrian Queen | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Six String | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thisoneisforyou | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broken Hearts Bay | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nana’s Corn Muffin | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Expect a Dancer | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little E | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Afraid Im Notcents | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Running Argument | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Madison’s Screen | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ann’s Storm | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Betison | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bri | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knights Sword | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Adeau | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scrapbook | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sophie’s Prayer | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Simple Sunday | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holy War | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sienna Breeze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mardi Gras Alarm | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.