Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cibolo 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Rifey 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Rare Stripe 20.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Drifter 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Otis Otis Otis 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Raymond 5.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Stand for Freedom 3.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Classic King 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Getoutofmykitchen 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Choctaw Blessings 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Boogie On 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Zongs Irish Frost 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Wild Cherokee 15.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Latifah 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Rita’s Revenge 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lil’ Bit of Chrome 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Lastchancesaloon 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Start Singing 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Stoic Luna 1.80 1.4 3-1
1 1 Undecoded 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Invaluable 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Beachgrass 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Hissy Missy 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Miss Distinctive 12.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Priddis 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Choctaw Zip 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Partyinthestreets 3.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Shake Up 15.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Chupapi Munyayo 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Yaqui Valley 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Cybertown 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Third Watch 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Pepperonikid 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Rudiano 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 I’m an Oak 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Oh My Gawd 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Laura Branigan 2.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Bertie’s Cause 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Weather Map 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Greek Heiress 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Floating 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Lil Town Sis 4.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 So Jordan 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Smokin’ Hot 0 0-1
9 10 Smokin’ Hot 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 River Boy 12.00 1.4 3-1
6 7 Royal Act 2.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Man On the Moon 4.00 3 6-1
7 8 Leader of Men 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 9 Devoted to You 20.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Make Noise 10.00 3.8 7-1
10 11 Baba’s Boy 30.00 3.9 7-1
1 2 Khozy My Boy 10.00 4.7 9-1
1A 6 Turn On the Magic 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 1 Wyfire 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hurricane Fire 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lady Moscato 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Popperina 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Church Service 20.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Bold Appeal 1.60 3.7 7-1
5 5 Vicki Rose 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Bellaju 2.50 7.1 13-1
3 3 Flight On Race Day 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Alicit Intention 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mozingo 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Pattern Bet 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Unbridled Twister 6.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Heated Argument 20.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Run Fearless 30.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Sassy Lass 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Lassie My Girl 10.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Bennykayandsuzytoo 5.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Ms Carroll County 15.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Chai Tea 12.00 11 21-1
7 7 Music Mistress 4.50 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Dixie Belle S.) – Dixie Belle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Xtreme Smoke Show 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tanya Showers 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Xtreme Diva 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sharp Tune 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Blue Squall 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Ghalia Princess 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Happy N Smiling 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Pinotslilgirl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Namesake 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Coach Adams 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 T Bones Trick 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Indian Gulch 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 R Doc 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Seaside Boy 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Nepal Up 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 City Legend 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Bandera Azteca 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Gun Rush 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.