Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caddy Man | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mizzen Man | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s Blue Moon | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wood Be Wild | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Warden | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Porsupuesto | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Modern Midas | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Refund Rigler | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rex Kwon Do | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Battalia | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faux Pas | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mamma Mia Esterina | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Her Ticket to Ride | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drowningnchocolate | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tis Tea Time | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soulful Tara | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jamaican Mi Hazel | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Valiant Majesty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Akna | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pachelbel | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Copy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eighty Eight Keys | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Istria | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bohemia Babe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Times | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Threepete | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Workout | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marvelousmoondance | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Reward | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bronx Tale | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy Jim | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keep Dem Talking | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Connecting | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Decoupage | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classy Sadie | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boca Royalty | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Cara | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Creme Caramel | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gia’s Fuego | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Blanca | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Merrabel | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Isabella Smile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Comedy Act | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mended We Stand | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Smile | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ratified | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Denali Rae | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Et’s Moon Maiden | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shetalkstomuch | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Little Demon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Star | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Sir Colonel | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rerally | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dalton | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brett’s World | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dynamite Karma | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Speightster Red | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Le Vin | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twilight Dancer | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Tones | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Step On It | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lonesome Boy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trevesso | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clancy O’Toole | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Ernie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Veeson | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ournationonparade | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One More Scoop | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowan | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nico | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Music | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Jet | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | He’s Incredible | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ava K’s Boy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zip It Scotty | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jebologist | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big City Bob | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Box of Chocolates | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Press My Bets | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Brown Shoes | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty Star | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rudy Rod | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.