Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, February 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Non Binding 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Whorl Girl 4.50 6 11-1
10 10 Tenpins Tempest 5.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Gap Daddy 3.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Moody Rafaela 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Just a Win 6.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Savannah’s Here 8.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Mydealoftheday 20.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Crypto Brave 10.00 9.8 19-1
7 7 Valtesse 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kaely’s Brother 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Zultan 8.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Seehoss 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Honor My Speed 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Donna’s Court 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Applewood 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Incorrigible 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Raise the Alarm 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tuscan Rules 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Ido Solemnly Swear 15.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Long Legged Lady 10.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Stand by Time 4.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 The Lady Bulls Eye 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Gnaughty Kimmy 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Midnight Cigarette 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 True Contender 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Wind of War 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Into Wishing 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Second of July 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Happy Boy Rocket 2.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Hail Southern 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Smoky Topaz 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Full of Glory 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Pray Ide Sing 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Revenir 5.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Yes Bab 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mayfield Strong 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Briartown 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Dr. Snyder 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Dontkissdaminister 2.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 River Raft 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 King of Contraband 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Liberty’s Hauler 4.50 7.3 14-1
7 7 Arkansas Zong 12.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Josan 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hostile Afleet 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Veterans Day 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Flashing Angelbaby 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Elusive d’Oro 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Ferocity 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Uptown Social 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Total Surprise 15.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Hurts So Bad 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Paynt Battle 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 McLean 15.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Sparkin 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Starburst 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Mint 12.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Affirm Chief 4.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Pink Higgins 15.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Dealin’ Stelen 8.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Hardcore Folklore 8.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Gotta Go 15.00 9 17-1
9 9 Oregon County 5.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Guest Check 20.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Traelee 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Final Quest 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Pickin Ana Grinnin 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Blessed Assurance 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Mo Classy 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Tincandance 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Cute Dinero Queen 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Sienna Breeze 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Akiane’s Soldier 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Sue’s Little Zing 8.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 El Caliente Lady 20.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Zeerock 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Luminous Flight 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tarkington Girl 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Smokin Motion 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Amelies Dreamer 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Shehasanattitude 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Bitsy’s Double Day 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Glorious Gears 6.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Our Boss Lady 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Don’t Blink Twice 10.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Short Stack 15.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Lil Lilah Ann 12.00 8 15-1
12 12 Grace’s Vision 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mallory Unbridled 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.