Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 22, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flash N Class 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mine Your Biz 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Jack the Whistle 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Lt. Tent 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Bitsy’s Star 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 White Ice 3.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Computerized 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Hit the Bullseye 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Gumball 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cajun Catalina 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sweet Little Rose 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Brielle Evangeline 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Unified Love 4.50 5 9-1
3 3 Custom Comedy 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Taken It 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Sheza Salty Gal 4.50 6.3 12-1
5 5 Everlyn’s Angel 8.00 7 13-1
8 8 Re Re’s Rainbow 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 High Cruise 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Freedom Factor 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Twoko Bay 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Palace Kitten 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Awe Shackle 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Hard Attack 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Color Fast 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Monarchs Glen (GB) 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Super Curioso (ARG) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Summer in Aiken 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Performance Plus 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 This Time Blue 6.00 4 7-1
4 4 Victor Aly 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Beer With Ice 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Hangman Creek 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Silent Count 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Skykat 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 It’sfiftyshadetime 10.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Just Passing Thru 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Coinmaker 20.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Quinn Murphy 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Richies Great Girl 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 My Little Jen 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Zoom Erin 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Cave Creek 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Sweet Sassicaia 10.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Broadway Pearl 10.00 10.9 21-1
8 8 Angel of Verdun 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Freeburn 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Army Day 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lil Chilly 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Bohemian Jiggles 20.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 She Smiled At Me 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Tap Galore 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Custom Sunshine 5.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Sassi Strutter 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Papa Jojo 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ringside 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Athens Moon 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Hogslayers R I P 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Little Nick 3.50 5.1 10-1
10 10 God of Wine 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Regimental 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Cesnola 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Bettera 4.00 8 15-1
7 7 Sweet Present 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Empire’s Best 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Beaumont Red 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Cathy’s Boy 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Relampago Verde 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Active Duty 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Blood Brother 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Princess Fawzia 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Shirley’s Temple 20.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Lady Hideaway 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Best Performer 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Colors of the Wind 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Flatter Me Silly 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Woohoo Jackie Blue 8.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Blissful 3.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Elle Est Forte 4.50 7.3 14-1
10 10 Lady Jeopardy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bouldering 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Bibleman 8.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Mucho Marvin 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Fiery Playboy 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Smooth Colliery 4.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Heza Priority 3.00 6 11-1
5 5 Waitin’ On a Woman 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Fort Bonz 10.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Grand Prado 12.00 9.7 18-1
8 8 Whacudposblygowrng 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.