Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 23, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Legally Lucky 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Saved by Grace 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Dreaming Always 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Lily’s Creed 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Front and Silver 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Plants and Birds 8.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Cana Gris 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fort Polk 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Follow the Saint 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Sixth Anniversary 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 She Told You So 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Lovers Never Say 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Graceleadsushome 3.50 6 11-1
7 7 Money Well Spent 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Radiant Rebel 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gigi’s Luv 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Shezaperfectdream 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Steal Me Over 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Betonya 3.50 7 13-1
9 9 Our Indian Girl 10.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Dark Skyer 15.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 American Chick 8.00 9 17-1
4 4 Holy Moly Shipman 20.00 9 17-1
10 10 My Idea 4.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Miss Pearl Hart 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tribest (ARG) 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Higher Note 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Mariah 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Dylan’s Dream 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Chrome Racer 3.50 5 9-1
6 6 Imperator Furiosa 4.50 5.4 10-1
2 2 Let’s Go Brandi 6.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Trouble Free 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tough Charlie 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Of the Moment 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Robo 12.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Alicia’s Kid 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Peso in My Pocket 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Seven Scents 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Jake the Band Man 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Gold Punch 6.00 5 9-1
11 11 Baby Boomer 8.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Corot 4.50 7.2 14-1
5 5 Sunshine Charlie 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Verb 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Lady Luna 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mally’s Monsoon 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Beauxs Artes 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Mahomebred 2.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Hey Madalyn Claire 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Sum Charm 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Sapphire Nights 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Bedowntofoolaround 12.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Purrfect Moon 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mya’s Halo 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fleet Frost 5.00 3 6-1
9 9 Copper Em 4.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Tipsy Runner 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Foxxy Cleopatra 8.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Cheeky Gal 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Spin the Breeze 10.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Regal Rumor 8.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Wonder of You 5.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Play Good Pay Good 10.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Integrated Design 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Freddie by a Nose 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bolie 10.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 No More Words 4.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Tableaux Reseaux 4.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Canal St. Cupid 6.00 7 13-1
6 6 Yockey Doodledandy 15.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Breaking Star 10.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Takeover Fiftyfour 10.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Poetic Road 20.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Kah Nigh 20.00 9.9 19-1
2 2 Midland Kid 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.