Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 24, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Foxy Cara 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Eastern Star 1.40 1.5 3-1
2 2 Happy’s Smile 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 She’s a Natural 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Moonlit Weekend 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Krystalheir 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Amaretti 1.80 1 2-1
6 7 Obrigada 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 5 Kitten’s Appeal 6.00 3 6-1
2 1 Risk Free 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 3 Fancy Azteca 2.00 5.5 10-1
1A 4 Kid’s Last Laugh 2.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Mongolian Panther 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Just Music 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sweet Distraction 12.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Growth Rate 1.80 4.1 8-1
1 1 Patricia Ann 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Colorful Lady 3.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Chantilly Road 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Screaming Uncle 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Magnificent Mile 8.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Proven Hope 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Barnstorming 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Magical Ways 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Notah 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Seeking Unity 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Night Effect 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vegas Weekend 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Jolly Miss Jill 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Cinderella’s Cause 2.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Holiday Jazz 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Trade Secret 30.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Good Penny 4.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Divine Cross 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Whistler’s Style 4.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Vallarand 50.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Joey the Fish 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Five to Two 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Find Your Joy 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Rainingatthebeach 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 The Shoe Lady 3.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Ariana Rye 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Savannah Dancer 30.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sonia’s Flame 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Coolest 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Icy Flavor 4.00 1 2-1
2 1 Waralo 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 2 Pineapple Man 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Donegal Surges 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Graywing 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 9 Rock the Weekend 12.00 4 8-1
4 3 Rollin in Dough 3.50 4.3 8-1
1A 8 Sharpaz 12.00 5 10-1
1 7 Flowing River 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Haynesfield S.) – Haynesfield S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Maker’s Candy 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Overstep 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Dr Ardito 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Whittington Park 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Anejo 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Mama’s Gold 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Olympic Dreams 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Good Reunion 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Bingood to Knowya 8.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Sin Nombre 5.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Support the Cat 30.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 English Storm 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Perfect Outcome 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Somama Beach 50.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Ring Me 4.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 First Sons 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Qorokwe 15.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Four Eyes 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.