Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Navy Jack (GB) | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Formidable Man | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bandwagon | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Mark | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rastaman Vibe | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Outgunned | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Point | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Truly | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | La Paloma Blanca | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Oops | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Dana | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Sweet | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vulin | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spring Spinning | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sneaker | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Janet | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Snow | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stay Up | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strikeflash | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quantum Innergy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lovme Likeafool | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Dreamcycle | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salsation | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Big | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Running Tiger | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Love | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Suds | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kings River Knight | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cathkin Peak (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carmelita’s Man | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great King (FR) | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lincoln Hawk (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Surfer (GB) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vegas Burner | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Appreciate Today | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duran | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yellow Brick | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Altai | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ashcroft | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theismann | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Santa Ana S.) – Santa Ana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Leisurewear (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duvet Day (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Linda’s Gift | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Rhapsody (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khinjani (GB) | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yerwanthere (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queens Command (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Customer List (FR) | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | None Above the Law | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clouseau | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Low Expectations | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Mammoth | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hawker | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Judge Miller | 1.20 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischelof (CHI) | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Grazed | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Soulfire | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Apollo | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catalina Eddy | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Virat | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nashoba’s Joy | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Santo Dios (ARG) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Man Among Men | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Player B | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Johnny Drama | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Derecho Dandy | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mars On Fire | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Cat | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | National Generaux (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Worse Read Sanchez | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ship and Scam | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street Humor | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blame George | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger’s Arrow | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.