Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sardis | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reasoned Analysis | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cuando | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | States United | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Armor of Catclaw | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get It to Matthew | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stolen Magic | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iridescent | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ridgewood Runner | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dune Road | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Augustine Red | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guanare | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | El Divino Nino | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chocolate Shake | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Bob | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bad Larry | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hatch | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Rod Rumble | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Necromancer | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Face Abarrio | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anthracite | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Spirit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Movie Moxy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Evidencias (BRZ) | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Self Isolation | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ain’t Broke | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Willemina | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Malibu Moonshine | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Sugar | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Pharoah’s Heart | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Charlie Five O | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dontbelate | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Drive | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quickflash | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Deputy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brazillionaire | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anything Pazible | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mount Travers | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Phil | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heavyweight Champs | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shore Time | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sorority Prank | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barron’s Bounce | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bob John Ray | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mortgage Rate | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slow Down Big Andy | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aelfgar | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Landauer | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alpha Cat | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trafalgar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Captain | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Blute | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Armor | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curbstone | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alternate Reality | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Champions Dream | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Calling | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Montauk Point | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Night | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Gander S.) – Gander S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pandagate | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Big Torpedo | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doc Sullivan | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liberty Central | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brown Don’t Stop | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bali Amour | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rock Star Boy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Man Woody | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rossington | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rudy Rudy Rudy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Eddie | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crown That Saint | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble One | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brown as a Biscuit | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hair On Fire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Maximum Emily | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Badge of War | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.