Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 25, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ann’s Storm 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mo Bling 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Averi Ever After 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Ashley’s Girl 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Pat Hand Girl 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Macee 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 A Wish for Madelyn 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Realitos 5.00 5 9-1
9 9 Kittenofthe Court 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Half Off Half 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Stephanie’s Maria 4.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 D’busker 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Jet Rocket 4.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Moion 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Chapellete 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 C C Senora 4.50 6.8 13-1
7 7 Unknown Caller 12.00 8 15-1
5 5 Aunt Addie 20.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Get Gussied Up 4.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Charlie T 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Rue Lala 4.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Basalt Street 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Eve’s Delight 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Kyle Beauty 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Lake Marie 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Free Drop Maddy 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Michelles Lil Star 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Sumitup 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Garnet Jubilee 0 0-1
8 8 Midnight Avenger 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big Fig 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Papa Flew Bombers 30.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Grey’s Rumor 15.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Taysom 12.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Garnet Jubilee 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 English Bobby 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Purple Octopus 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Whatdidwedo 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Chasing Chayse 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ambivalent 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Deccan Prince (IRE) 8.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Gilded Ruler 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Plane Talk 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Dowagiac Chief 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Chiseler 5.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Mister Mmmmm 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Detroit City 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 B D Valeski 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 On Your Mark 8.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Gunner Bay 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 A Lil Psychotic 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Sweet Charlize 4.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Church Pew 12.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Mor Mor Music 12.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Miz Mastery 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 New Woman 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Catchyalater 5.00 4 7-1
6 6 Problematica 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Hattie Bloom 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Morning Miracle 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Casby 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Evan Harlan 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hard Rye Guy 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Pike Place 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Quaternion 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Brown Liquor Man 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Solid Country Gold 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Maasai Warrior 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Coaches Meeting 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Dapper Dude 12.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Battle Scars 6.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Caroom 8.00 6.7 13-1
15 15 The Prince’s Spur 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Kolomio 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Calicoco 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Brigade Commander 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pitch and Run 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Calibrachoamatters 5.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Check Me Out 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Meckes Priority 20.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Handsome Harold 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Lil Woadie 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Hawaiian Argument 10.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Vero Campione 5.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Colt’s Brim 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Nervy 4.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Joseph H 12.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Free From Guilt 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.