Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 29, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Crimson Storm 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Butler Cabin 1.80 1.3 2-1
4 4 Uncle Nick 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Time to Meddle 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Fabled Ruler 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Payoff Cycle 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Bella’s Gatsby 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pip Squeek 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Ready for Thunder 6.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Astrology Girl 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Eurostorm 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Sarah’s Court 4.50 5.6 11-1
7 7 Country Belle 6.00 7 13-1
4 4 Real Deal Ryan 6.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Moni Design 12.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Miss Nimbus 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 A Miss Deameanor 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Everylittlesingh 4.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Jus Press Star 8.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 My Sugar Fix 30.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Island Gold 8.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Betsy’s All In 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 In B. J.’s Honor 12.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Awree 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Goldzone 8.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Walksonwater 8.00 10.1 19-1
10 10 Startini 12.00 10.5 20-1
8 8 Tap Iron Fist 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mo Diva 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Won Day 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Firingtothefront 6.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Saint Eros Girl 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Lily’s Woofy 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Carson’s Princess 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 For Real Alice 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Commercial Flash 4.50 5.2 10-1
9 9 Zero Point Zero 12.00 8 15-1
3 3 Wait On Me 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tonteria 0 0-1
13 13 Afleet Ascent 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mi Solution 3.50 2 4-1
12 12 Charlie G 12.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Smarty Alex 6.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Relentless Dancer 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Tonteria 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 Knockalittlelouder 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Peanut N Ike 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Guitartuition Plzz 8.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Single Shot 8.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Snakebit 30.00 14.7 28-1
16 16 Bayou Jam 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Coach Kenny 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Oak Hill Lg 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Real City Speed 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Great Coolness 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 First Class Harlow 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 He Gots to Go 4.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Kahala 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Path to Success 4.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 South Side 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Jays Holiday 6.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Taraashoq 10.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Luke 6.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Catchin Drama 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dustin the Diamond 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Brie’s Mission 4.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Gotta Keep Him 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Howard’s Grit 20.00 3.9 7-1
12 12 Free Drop Rob 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Sharp Spark 6.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Strong Diamond 30.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Theplains Marshall 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Storm Force 20.00 8 15-1
6 6 Rainbow Man 8.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 By the Sword 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dream Cruise 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Calibrachoa Kid 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Cash Fever 3.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Zippin Gigi 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Camp Daddy 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Mesa Spirit 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Champlin 2.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Macho Forty Five 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Voyant 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Liffey 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Lucky Speech 12.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Classic Claire 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Generous Lover 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Not Today Geegee 3.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Playmate 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Dona Witch 8.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Chasing Summer 6.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Lock It Up 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Strawberry Sundae 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Anita’s Vision 4.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Shes a Lucky Rebel 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Drewsilla 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 R T’s Gem 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Guitar Woman 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Sky High Susan 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Mo Smoking 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Smart Izzy 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Zeerock 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.