Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Troubled Luck | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mambagigi | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Decente | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snappin Buttons | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Account Receivable | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Terminatrix | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Heir Port | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honorary Degree | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Striking Speed | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swift Tap | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Joker Boy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Sunrise Journey | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Poppy’s Pride | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Venge | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Le Bar | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Badge of War | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold ‘n’ Scarlet | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Upside Potential | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King of France | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Kingdom | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Natural Harbor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Uncle George | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Borletti (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Return the Ring | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Kant Beat the Rock | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Blue Plate Special | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Capital Conquest | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Run Devil | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamawayseven | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Halo City | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Bea Star | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cupids Girl | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Suspended Campaign | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Penny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sister Linda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Systemic Change | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Rungius | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Macallan | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Trouble | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Beyond Best | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Centavo | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reddington | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jemography | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Life Changer | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sagamore Mischief | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Beachwalker | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thunderian | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Gentleman Joe | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Just Call Ray | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Joking Way | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Leading Contender | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocco Strong | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Burn | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Am the Law | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dee Jay | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kuchar | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alternate Reality | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Night | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.