Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Varton | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Penny | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | West Side Girl | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shaniah | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winyah Bay | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abby the Bull Dawg | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lichita | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flowersforshantell | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Safe Bet | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vigano | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Auden | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Heights | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Stick | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deluca | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Artwell | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Darvesh | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captive Audience | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Elusive Target | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapsasional | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beer Chaser | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Search Engine | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St Andrews | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Roman Centurian | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Red Hot | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pleasingly | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bent Halo | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Molly of Stratford | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Differently | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bodi Odi | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Latifah | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cosmic Chic | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dance My Way | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pink Chimes | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Babas Gal | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Be Gone | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Diamond | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Golden Lake | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Smarty’s Angel | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Summorya | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Pat’s Gal | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Kitiara | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 10 | K J’s Pistol Annie | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Courageous Cappen | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Be My Huckleberry | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Miracle Shoes | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Bootlegging Girl | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Coromandel | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Dixie Girl To | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Thursday Morning | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Happymac | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Roman Giant | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mystery Man | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Square Deal | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Must Be Love | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Blazen Road | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Boldish | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Snow | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Family | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Easy Big Boy | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Black Storm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Red N Wild | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Humor Me Now | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Life On the Nile | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boogie Bode | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Contrabandista | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Absolute Courage | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Work Order | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star Nation | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hard to Come By | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unstable Prince | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Assumption | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Traffic Boss | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Chrome Run | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Wully Bully | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wings From Above | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theresasilverlinin | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Mother Mary | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Tigress | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Collected Glory | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Demi | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Dreamer | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Express | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Velikiy | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Code for Success | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bertie’s Cause | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Henro | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Risk It | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cats by Five | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Free | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leo Springs | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Andy’s Candy | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Knicks Storm | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alder | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Googol Joke | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Quencio | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shesasmalltowngirl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zongs Irish Frost | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Predicting | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean Bird | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Bolt | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Babe in the Woods | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alamo | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pneuma | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kat’n Chrome | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | First Class Girl | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Mo Fancy | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Moonlight Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.