Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keep Movin’ On | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Lamporghini | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keep Movin’ On | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Size Does Matter | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Guess | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stagger Lee | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motivating Force | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two by Four | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mischiefs Causeway | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eight Clap | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eligio | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Jojo | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gostoso | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Show Jones | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cangrejo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forgiving Spirit | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Johnny Podres | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jetovator | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mubtadaa | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lansdowne (GB) | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proof He Rides | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belle Epoque | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Bossy Bruin Gal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belle Epoque | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Indian Dreamer | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Warren’s Wild Ride | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Bella Vienna | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bougie Like | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Isabel Ludlow | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ashleys Sandcastle | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Demps | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Caramie | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blondzilla | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glacier Rim | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Paradice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jensco | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess of Time | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grace Period (FR) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Power Surge | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kristi’s Tiger | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Class Clown | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Lass | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruff Ride | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rebel Girl | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Milagre Do Sol | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sakura Flavor (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Etheric | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yarborough | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paco’s Pico | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tembo | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jacks Outlaw | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Divine Feminine | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin for Revenge | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Settecento | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Shandee | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mike Operator | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Perfectionistic | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mastermind | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quaria Thunder | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasingserendipity | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Queen | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapit Doux | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Crown for Kitten | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Built Different | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violet Storm | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Spring Spinning | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.