Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Dantz | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Better Be Smart | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mitole’s Girl | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top of the Table | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit of Esther | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Union Ave | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luna Patina | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Apollo Rising | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Masterwork | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cheeky Tico | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Memphis | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Modern Era | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stjames | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Accelerina | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Montauk Mystique | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming of Carli | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jay’s Love | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Debbie Darling | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Gorgeous | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dramatic Effect | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Reya | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maxing the Bank | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Daylight | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | George’s Vice | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Flame | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highway Harmony | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reigning Chick | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maggie | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackson’s Dixie | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duckphat | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Gut Feeling | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Goldini | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Co Conspirator | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Glimpse | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Durkin’s Call | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Full Moon Fever | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Pit Boss | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Funkenstein | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nobodyridesforfree | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shipsational | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kunshan Bridge | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ski Country | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Factually Correct | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Got Thunder | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Skylander | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Radio Red | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mister J T | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aztec | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dads Good Runner | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hero’s Medal | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vespucci | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Busher S.) – Busher S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aoife’s Magic | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jody’s Pride | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Mayfair | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carmelina | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gin Gin | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regulatory Risk | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sicilian Princess | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stymie S.) – Stymie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kinetic Sky | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coastal Mission | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Petulante | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Castle Chaos | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Works | 50.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laughing Boy | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Crown | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Chic | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| Coastal Mission | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Tom Fool H.) – Tom Fool H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rotknee | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Chow | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Durante | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manny Wah | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twenty Four Mamba | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stage Left | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Downtownchalybrown | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Listentoyourheart | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| Super Chow | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Gotham S.) – Gotham S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bergen | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Grande O | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Slider | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air Cav | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maximus Meridius | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lightline | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deposition | 50.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Khanate | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eliminate | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Capital Idea | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Just a Touch | 2.50 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deterministic | 4.50 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Facenda | 50.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.