Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 2, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cajun Blast 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Just Because 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 My Tennis Shoes 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Talk of the Town 4.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Larry’s Lunchbox 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Mo Hawk Man 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Foe 8.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Palmisano 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Regatta Bay 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 The Speedy One 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Gamer Nate 2.00 2 4-1
8 8 Razor Crest 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Saint Gabriel 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Mo Diva 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Kee Jee 12.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Vega Star 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Girl Likes Bling 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Custom Punch 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Steel Guitar 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 R T’s Cajun Lady 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Jus Evelyn 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Kathlyns Phalanx 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Golden Cougar 10.00 5.1 10-1
14 14 Long Shot Louise 8.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Usain d’Oro 12.00 10.1 19-1
13 13 Bayou Bertie 3.50 10.5 20-1
12 12 Lady Athena 4.00 11.2 21-1
15 15 Secretly Sweet 5.00 11.7 22-1
7 7 Broadway Star 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Aspen Link 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tensas Lucy 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zing 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Yolanda Who 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Bar Tap 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Rain 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Blessed Anna 3.50 6.7 13-1
9 9 Xcaret 4.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 Dessert First 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 J Z’s First 12.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Saenz 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Red Camelia S.) – Red Camelia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 World War 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Wholelottamo 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Spirited Beauty 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Speedy Dudette 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 A G’s Charlotte 2.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Highly Wicked 3.50 4.7 9-1
9 9 Visionista 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Cheapskate Diva 8.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Vale Male 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Speedy Traveler 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Unified Alliance 10.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Rose Palace 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Aunt Becca 3.00 4 7-1
2 2 Ervadean 3.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Gracie Diamond 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Rockets Sister 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Fired Up Tiger 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Edward J. Johnston Memorial S.) – Edward J. Johnston Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mangum 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Who Took the Money 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Langs Day 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Calicoco 6.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Wise Verdict 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Jack Hammer 4.50 6.4 12-1
2 2 Behemah Star 3.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Woods N Water 8.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Sonya Knows Better 50.00 10.5 20-1
8 8 Moment of Stardom 15.00 10.9 21-1
9 9 Benoit 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Need a Bit of Luck 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Frosty Vi 4.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Lady Hipster 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Notice Me Too 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 She’s Cool 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Torrey Street 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Absolute Miracle 6.00 8 15-1
8 8 Lemon Latte 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Black Gold S.) – Black Gold S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Can Group 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Camaro Z 12.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Summer in Adriane 15.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Yo Daddy 20.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 St. Armands Key 6.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Works for Me 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Ocean Victory 6.00 3 6-1
10 10 Neat 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Count Dracula 15.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Rock’n a Halo 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Gorilla Trek 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Bear River 8.00 4.9 9-1
Camaro Z 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Clear as a Bele 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Myglorybee 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Budro Talking 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Highland Creek 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Play Mo 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Jack Bob and Larry 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Ballinonabudjet 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Blue Cheese 8.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Langs Day 15.00 8 15-1
10 10 Up N Gone 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.