Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Martha’s Heart | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Confluence Lassie | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frosty Maya | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rezoom | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Three’s a Crowd | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Troubled Dreams | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harmonizing | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shoot Themessenger | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bermondsey | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Silver | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiny Tin | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Union | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Viking Queen | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream of Blessings | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Lad | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rock Bullet | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toast to Coast | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imstillhere | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | General J R | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Common Prosperity | 1.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Here Comes Rusty | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eyes Eleven | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Omar Comin | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | El de Larry | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Silverbullettwenty | 1.60 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Get Like Mike | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Dashing d’Artagnan | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Whatahardmanfidead | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ascendance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Derbyness | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kingdom Force | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Full Proof | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arrogates Dream | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Razorette | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happyinitiative | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Job’s Not Finished | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Best Worst Idea | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coal’s Magnolia | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kanem | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nottoway | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crownedcountcristo | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charge to Victory | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Cardo | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bee by the Sea | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oxide | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Musical Heart | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Savoy | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Up Against It | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Claw | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Petingas Twin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laddie Dance | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Livehappy | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quint’s Brew | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vilaluz | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. McMahon | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Northern Cardinal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ampersand | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bobby G | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Midnight Cat | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Fun Lovin Criminal | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Southern District | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Strong Finish | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fortune’s Fool | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ace Nine Nine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Krug | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lady Brew | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doctor Abbie | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mavilus | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior’s Ransom | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cats Inthe Timber | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Intrepid Dream | 1.40 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leave Drama Behind | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grace in Excess | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | G’s Fireball | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buckin’ Lucky | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Edester | 1.40 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzling Demelza | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valley Star | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.