Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spiritual Lady | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rubia | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Church Service | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Haunted Dream | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thorny | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheyenne Moon | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Parade | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miwoman | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Two Practical | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | When I Look At You | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Impressor | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Still On the Books | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cravensworth | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bordinos | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Tap | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Commander Rex | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smackzilla | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Memes | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Little Frappucino | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Asymmetric | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pressure | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Immoral | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Asset Basis | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Isocline | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Catalina Crush | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mirage | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thanks Frank | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nullify | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Chill | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Diamond | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Copper Echo | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Corked | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Commander Storm | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mohawk River | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decision Maker | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Winnemac Avenue | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Santos Dumont | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Decision Maker | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Hush This | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ethereal Road | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Machine Gun Man | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Rising | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alejandro | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Creme de La Chrome | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colt Fiction | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Luv to Win | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shacks Way | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mac Daddy Too | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer in Malibu | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiger Dad | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shady Empire | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Latin Casino | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Circle Back Jack | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Deflater | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Alpine Thunder | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Burninhunkoflove | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Princess Says | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bertie’s Cause | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Bet | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Singing Emma | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Communicationiskey | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer of Mischief | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghost Bayou | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perilous Life | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Home | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Insightful Miss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Nodouble Breeders’ S.) – Nodouble Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Willow Creek Road | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lochmoor | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | King Peanut | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bohemian Bo | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Dog | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Navy Seal | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hit Scene | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Rocco | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Time for Truth | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Time for Truth | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Road | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ethan Energy | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Universal Sound | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willy D’s | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pappy’s Revenge | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Googol Joke | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Concentration | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedtail | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Quencio | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Redfield | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Downthedustyroad Breeders’ S.) – Downthedustyroad Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kantex | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mozingo | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Connie K | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Shoes | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fly Like the Wind | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rivercrest Girl | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kaboom Baby | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Count It All Joy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Springs Bling | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chaos Reigns | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | State School Smart | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perp Walk | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chrome Candy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scott City | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dancin Rocket | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Natorade | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gust of Wind | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Reveille Valley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lakeside Rumble | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Brother Mike | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Landlord | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cloud Without Rein | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kant Conquer Me | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.