Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 3, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Loretta Lynn 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Asada Fries 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Putt for Dough 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Safa 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Sushi Sticks 3.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Dorie Miller 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Petit Filet 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Recalcitrant 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kahuna Magic 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Blue Cheese Olive 6.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Top Gun Tommy 1.60 1.1 2-1
7 7 Established 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Disco Ball 1.80 2.2 4-1
3 3 Princip 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Habeas 15.00 3.9 7-1
Top Gun Tommy 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lady Claypoole (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Den of Iniquity (GB) 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 No No No Never (IRE) 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Highly Desirable (IRE) 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Kelly’s Out (IRE) 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Golden Skyline 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Well Funded 6.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Leeza 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Ship and Scam 4.00 1 2-1
8 7 Confucius 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Syntactic 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 98 Tokamak 0.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Fifty Cinco 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Take Action 3.50 5.5 10-1
9 8 Eagles Landing 20.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Bendettijoe 2.50 6.2 12-1
2 2 Road of Love 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Truly Quality 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Stamp My Passport 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Living Life 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Kerry Gold 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Genius Jimmy 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Crosby Beach 1.60 6.9 13-1
4 4 Shortman 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Seven Wonders 6.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Tesoro 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Dk Horse San Felipe S.) – Dk Horse San Felipe S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nysos 0.20 1 2-1
1 1 Scatify 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Wine Me Up 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mc Vay 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Imagination 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.) – Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Easter (FR) 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Prince Abama (IRE) 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Du Jour 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Dandy Man Shines (IRE) 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Irideo (ARG) 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Mackinnon 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 First Peace 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Ah Jeez 30.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Goliad 4.00 4.8 9-1
Du Jour 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Santa Anita H. Presented By Yaamava’ Resort & Casino) – Santa Anita H. Presented By Yaamava’ Resort & Casino

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Newgate 0 0-1
7 7 Newgrange 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Highland Falls 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Newgate 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Reincarnate 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Subsanador (ARG) 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Mixto 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Salesman (IRE) 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Not Now 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Venganza 6.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Getthemoney 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Don’t Ju Forget 3.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 Just Nails 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Pleasant Wave 12.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Summer Lake 4.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Sunshine Babe 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Real Fire 6.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Hayley Levade 6.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 La Deuxieme Etoile 15.00 9.8 19-1
12 12 Vitalera (CHI) 50.00 10.6 20-1
13 13 Aventapp 5.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Buena Vista S.) – Buena Vista S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bellabel (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Justique 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Closing Remarks 5.00 4 7-1
10 10 Nadette (FR) 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Ruby Nell 3.50 4.3 8-1
11 11 Mouffy 5.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Lakota Spirit 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Lucky Girl (IRE) 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Be Your Best (IRE) 8.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Thirty Carats 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kissed by Fire 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.