Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, March 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Be Water 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 No More Diamonds 6.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Now Act Surprised 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Bullet On Tap 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Wicked Lady 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 The Furmanator 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Aztec Bay 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Dune Jumper 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Bohemia Babe 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Matty Bo 0 0-1
8 8 Vitaemi 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ifihadachance 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Pearls and Heels 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Luna T 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 La Luisa 6.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Matty Bo 6.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Sense a Million 6.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Seven Years Later 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jewels in the Bay 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Guaponess 2.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Bobby’s Candy 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Catty’s Uncle 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Zoppi Fischbein 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 It’s a Pity 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Empire’s Score 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Lazaretto 5.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Amigos Guitar 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Zip It Scotty 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Primordial Fear 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Hide the Ransom 3.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Minxzhippsdontleye 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Faux Pas 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Practical Rachel 1.60 2.8 5-1
7 7 Yeloma 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Lady Gabrielle 5.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Miss Hoppertunity 4.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Overthebluesky 8.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Sweetest Moment 15.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Tis Tea Time 6.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Woke Up a Diva 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Princess Sophie 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Tiz a Sharpie 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Not a Trace 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Wishing Ona Prayer 10.00 3 6-1
9 9 Ambitiously Placed 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Catti La Belle 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Awesome Pal 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Beyond a Million 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Heleonortiz 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Carcharoth 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mister B 5.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Bad Bad Mr. Brown 1.80 2.6 5-1
8 8 Irish Deviant 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Freedom Eagle 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Warrior Ted 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Hero’s Spirit 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Eddie W 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Why Stop There 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kalahari Not Sorry 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Don Tequilas 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Main Line S.) – Main Line S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jeanne Marie 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kiss for Luck 4.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Sweet Distraction 15.00 2 4-1
8 8 Experimental 2.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Eclair Blanc 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Molly Malone 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Maria Says So 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Phabulous Phoebe 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Aoife’s Magic 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (City Of Brotherly Love S.) – City Of Brotherly Love S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Le Vin 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Just Step On It 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lonesome Boy 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Guanare 1.60 2.5 5-1
8 8 Capo 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Carry Grant 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 American War Hero 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Facenda 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Saponara 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mischievous Juan 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Wizard Serrat 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Cartier Cat 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Porsupuesto 10.00 5.3 10-1
14 14 Indoctrinate 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Souper Fly Over 4.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Nick the Cardshark 5.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Catch My Vibe 15.00 7 13-1
9 9 Long Gray Line 15.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Just Nod and Smile 20.00 9.8 18-1
13 13 Bad Guy 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cousin Andrew 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Extreme Force 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Gimmebackmybullets 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.