Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 8, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cracklin Cat 0 0-1
6 6 You’re Forever 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Classic Cara 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Natural Fact 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Nay Slayer 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Cracklin Cat 5.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Isn’t She Khozy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sister Linda 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Embraceable Gal 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Holiday Jazz 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Joey the Fish 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Synonymous 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Captivating Cara 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Trade Secret 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Clare Quilty 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Light the Way 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Egypt 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Pricing Power 3.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Bolt d’Plata 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Login Required 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reserve Currency 0.60 1 2-1
2 2 Magia Nera 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Midnight Express 20.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Collect From Ike 15.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Wanna Winna 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Petrolo 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Uncle George 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Complete Agenda 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Milano 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 3 Predicted 3.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Disappearance 8.00 5.7 11-1
1A 7 Union Lights 3.00 6.3 12-1
7 8 Stop the Spread 12.00 7.5 14-1
2 1 Flash Kiss 3.50 7.8 15-1
3 2 Strong Light 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Best Bet 0.60 1 2-1
5 5 Ice Road 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Uncle Water Flow 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Honed 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Scotto 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Papi On Ice 30.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Golden Purchase 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Opportunity Set 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Amundson 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Bronx Bomber 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Market Alert 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Warriors Revenge 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Tommy Gun 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Six Percent 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Writer’s Regret 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Graywing 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mason Mania 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Seba M 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Solo Tonight 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 In a Minute 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Janssen 20.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Diannesretiring 6.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Hair On Fire 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Financier 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Triple Word Score 50.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Montauk Surf 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Big Hutchy 5.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Frankie R. 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.