Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 8, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Charlie’s Creed 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Johnnny’s Game 6.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Izeondec 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Ronic 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Ghost Cowboy 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Vortex 3.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Carlos’s Mama 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Come On Come On 30.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Admiral Afleet 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Microphone (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Summer Lover 10.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Z Z’s Prince 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Sivako 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Clarestown 5.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Kahala 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Simple Logic 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 El Perfecto 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reverent 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ourperfectprince 4.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Charco 6.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Deal With Him 8.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 Star Redemption 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Totally Addicted 5.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Kit Kat Kidd 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 Older and Wiser 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Mr. Butch Womble 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Half a Buck 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Cigar Van 20.00 10.4 20-1
14 14 Jamaican Me 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Half Magic 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Sunset War 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Thundertakesdalead 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Aunt Alex 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Keepem Safe 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Mor Mor Music 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Maylen 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Miss Pearl Hart 8.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Pink Lady Lu Sha 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Tootoo Tourist 20.00 5 9-1
6 6 Sweet Marin 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Don’t Be Bossy 20.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Foreign Tourist 30.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Hattie Bloom 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Slick and Fast 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Steauxlit 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Shawn’s Solving 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Skinny Bobby 6.00 4 7-1
9 9 Racy Bille 10.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Marvins’ Posse 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Punchie 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 In a Bind 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 King of Contraband 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Josan 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cocal 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Snakebit 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tonteria 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Garfish 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Chad’s Flashy Ways 4.50 3.9 7-1
10 10 Cunimbus 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Doolgaroux 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Bobby Two Shot’s 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Titanium Deal 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Jackson D 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Inchhighatahundred 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Gem Buoy 20.00 8.7 17-1
6 6 Lost My Bag 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 When I Look At You 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tempting Lady 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Blue Vortex 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Elodine 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Greyhound Station 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Fasta Lavista Baby 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Miss Harmonic 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Capo Donna 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Taylors Magic 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Clearly Creeps 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Carolina Jacy 3.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Fist City 4.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Mia Antonia 8.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Giant Tude 8.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Hot Golden Girl 6.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Blueridgeballerina 20.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Eve Eve 12.00 9.6 18-1
7 7 C C Llam 20.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Imma Madi Tue 10.00 10.5 20-1
5 5 My Idea 12.00 10.5 20-1
2 2 Aunt Addie 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.