Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baby Avery | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Union Dame | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Fire | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barstool Babe | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bellaju | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alessia | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tandi Sue | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Avery | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mor Happy Hours | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reaux Bina | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Ember | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moenchanted | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cashmere Baby | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Raven | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melania T | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kava | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Woopig | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sunnyandseventy | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honduras Passion | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classic Moment | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Congrats On Fifty | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power Slam | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lundberg | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fashion King | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocking Rocket | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Funny Uncle | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mischievous Max | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Max | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cadillac Cowboy | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Equate | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Eight Straight | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon On Fire | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Get Away With It | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chadron | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guydon | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brahms Jr. | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flyherbflyhigh | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Berryville Bullet | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Always a King | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Priddis | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Distinctive | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Right Trappe | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | West Side Girl | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beachgrass | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amazing Gal | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Whats Up Sweets | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mumblebee | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neversaynoletsgo | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kimbell’s Strategy | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Oh My Gawd | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thorn Crown | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chip Shortage | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlottes Way | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Risky Spirit | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Adios Muchachas | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Show Me the Candy | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Sweet Candy | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cupid’s Music | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sammies Samurai | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Choctaw Blessings | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mamba Out | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mean Sue | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Missy Piggy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Test Pilot | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bizzy Legs | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kowboykabin | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Greatheart | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Canadian Pharoah | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Turn On the Magic | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Make Noise | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Drewpower | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Ego | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deep State | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | California Swing | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | El Franco | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Devoted to You | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Seaside Boy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Toma Todo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bandera Azteca | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Efficiency | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dance Some Mo | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystery Mo | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Paper | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leader of Men | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Act | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fight’n Ready | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What a Country | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Like a Girl | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Free Like a Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joke Sisi (CHI) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jubella | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Backyard Money | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Margoinabubblebath | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stellar Lily | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Into Disco | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lover Girl | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bow Draw | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Windy Bay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coach Jimi D | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Coach Jimi D | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Grey | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Major Mack | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flashy Fast | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Usually Wrong | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hailstorm | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Villain | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morunning | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jester Sang | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strait Rush | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Victory Dash | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.