Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 10, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stamp of Approval 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Best Impression 1.40 2.4 5-1
5 5 The Taco Lady 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Lumenique 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Autumn’s Turn 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lotsa Trouble 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Brick Ambush 0.80 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mad Banker 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Always a Warrior 5.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Solo in Paris 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Allied Attack 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ski Patrol 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lafitte’s Fleet 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Co Conspirator 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Honorary Degree 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Winning Drive 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Colonel Vargo 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Irish Tenor 1.40 1 2-1
2 1 Shore Time 12.00 1.6 3-1
5 6 Within View 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 2 Barron’s Bounce 5.00 3 6-1
4 3 Aelfgar 4.00 4 8-1
1 4 Sandy Sweet Tooth 3.50 4.3 8-1
1A 5 Boss Three O Two 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tempermental 0.50 1 2-1
1 1 Meraviglioso 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Ruvies in Time 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Darn That Song 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Eros’s Girl 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Maggie 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Be the Boss 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Perfect Munnings 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Excellent Timing 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Beach Boy Al 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Writer’s Regret 6.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Disco Deano 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kupp 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Authorize 8.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Daufuskie Island 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Got Thunder 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 What’s Up Bro 1.80 2.6 5-1
7 7 Ryan’s Cat 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Dreams She Dreams 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Narciso Dali 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Giant’s Fire 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Muazarah 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Piccolo Diavolo 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Conniving 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Mr. Georgie 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 My Man Woody 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Classic Kingdom 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Castlecove Spirit 30.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Viejo Verde 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Arteta 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.