Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jake the Band Man 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Rap Artist 20.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Our Freddie Mac 20.00 3 6-1
5 5 Big Scully 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Slither 12.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Win Ya Win 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Coach Kenny 2.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Bibleman 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Reckless Ransom 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Smooth Colliery 12.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Andiamo Giacomo 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Saber Run 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bootsie’s Galaxy 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pomeroy Haze 10.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Herd Immunity 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 In the Arch 5.00 3 6-1
10 10 Double Barrel Man 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Sailor Chow 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Indimaaj 4.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Golden Palace 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Young Tuscan 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Two Dot 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Motion to Strike 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mary Jack 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cave Creek 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Zing 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Just Passing Thru 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Skykat 12.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Bar Tap 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Angel of Verdun 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Atomic Rose 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Faded Memories 12.00 6 11-1
11 11 Quinn Murphy 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Russian Mafia 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lovelyredstilettos 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Michelles Lil Star 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Canada’s Customs 3.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Drop Dead Sexy 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Lake Marie 10.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Won Day 5.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Miss Priority 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Sumitup 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Cajun Ninja 8.00 8 15-1
5 5 Royal O’Haigain 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Freedom Factor 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Twoko Bay 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Niles Channel 3.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Palace Kitten 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Super Wise 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Group Eighteen 10.00 3.1 6-1
14 14 Optimus Kat 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Mau Mau 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Haleys Sailor 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Seven Channels 8.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Silent Power 20.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Telephone Talker 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dreamer’s Disease 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Smokey Harbor 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Awe Shackle 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mischievousness 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gourmet 6.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Beelieve Her 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Montclair Road 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Churning Berni 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Yes Indeed 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Looking for Ginny 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Stylish Sue 15.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Electrifying Mojo 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Monarch’s Mischief 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cajun Eddie 10.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Real City Speed 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Mi Solution 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Izzy’s Baby Boy 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mr. Tin Man 20.00 3 6-1
9 9 Guitar Doctor 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Deer Crossing 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Perrins 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Home Visit 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hudson’s Turn 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Marsalis 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Eyeing Clover 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Kavod 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Todo Fino (CHI) 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Pro Oxidant 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Boss’ Dialin In 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Campfire Creed 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Willtorun 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Mr. Wireless 4.50 7.1 13-1
6 6 Went West 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Army Day 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 One Line Ruler 12.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Kentucky Cajun 12.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Lil Chilly 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Geaux Maw P 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Moni Design 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Take Her Away 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Runtolive 12.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Circle Up 8.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Custom Sunshine 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Miss Rosie 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.