Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bolkin 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Fort Charles 1.20 2.5 5-1
8 8 Uzziah 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Exclusive Dancer 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Blazing Tyreek 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Torrefactor 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Max Forward Speed 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Solar Flash 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gran Roque 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Peach Nectar 10.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Don’t Answer 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Souper Sunshine 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Midnight Chaos 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Grand Bey 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Christensen 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Tejota 3.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Joyful Surprise 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Devilment 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Chaplin 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Birthday Munnings 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Readier 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Secret Threat 4.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Acquisitive 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Proverb 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cajun Brother 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Star Sign 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Storm Brave 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Uranium 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Double Play King 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Vikram 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Cobble Road 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gambling Holiday 1.40 1 2-1
10 10 Uncaptured Boy 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Patrolman 8.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 This Dude a Breeze 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Berlone 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Little Steven 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Hari 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Bold Looker 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Summer Storm Stric 30.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Gabagool 30.00 8 15-1
1 1 The Mar 30.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Diamond Messa 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kantbackoff 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Cardio Princess (JPN) 1.40 1.8 3-1
2 2 Dubstep 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Goodbetterbest 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 I Believe in Magic 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Hits Different 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Frank’s Art 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Surrogate 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Media Sensation 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Exult 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Don’t Let Me Down 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Midway Mischief 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Gilded Age 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Flatter Me 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cousin Kristi 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 American of Course 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Olga 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Hihellohowareyou 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Gunesh 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Sophia’s Storm 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Founder’s Day 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Marthamaywhovier 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lady Cha Cha 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Roscoe Village 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Refugiada 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Skinny Cosmo 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Carrington 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Beira 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sadie the Goat 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Special Affair 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.