Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Committee of One 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Works for Me 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Gabarra 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Scat Free 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Darkroom 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Coin Miner 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Tough Little Nut 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Honky Tonk Highway 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Debt Paid 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mind Bolt 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Classic Power (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jilly’s West 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Altar Girl 20.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Higher Note 20.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Chrome Racer 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Mrs. Speaker 4.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Straight Meadow 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Ruth of Judah 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Moro Maestro 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Acesanddiamonds 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Let’s Go Brandi 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 A Lil Psychotic 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Papa Jojo 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 God of Wine 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Sagittarius 4.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Rockstar Red 4.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Regimental 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Cowboy Cause 30.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Three Point Strut 30.00 6 11-1
3 3 El Pajaro Loco 30.00 9 17-1
8 8 Pilkington 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Monolith 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 My Sanctuary 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Run Dreaming 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Nownowdancer 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Eurostorm 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Tarkington Girl 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Brielle Evangeline 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Daisy de Oro 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Miss Nimbus 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Country Belle 4.50 6.2 12-1
10 10 Despeightful 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Sweet Little Rose 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Alicia’s Kid 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tripper John 20.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Robo 15.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Hooray Austin 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Seven Scents 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Channel Won 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Afleet Ascent 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Men of Kyle 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tough Charlie 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Of the Moment 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Peso in My Pocket 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 A True Target 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bolie 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Red Rock Solution 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Kev Man 20.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Takeover Fiftyfour 4.50 3.4 7-1
5 5 Temple of Peace 5.00 4.6 9-1
12 12 Canal St. Cupid 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Midland Kid 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Kah Nigh 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Tiznow Tom 20.00 10.7 20-1
4 4 A G’s Gem 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Kee Jee 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Over Paid 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cool Ride 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Loudthundrhevyrain 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Gatsby’s Fortune 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Rising Koto Star 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Freddie by a Nose 4.50 6.5 12-1
1 1 Bet On Bobby 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Joe T 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sweet Guitar 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Gigi’s Luv 15.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Stephanie’s Maria 1.60 1.7 3-1
2 2 American Chick 12.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Dark Skyer 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Unknown Caller 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Steal Me Over 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Our Indian Girl 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Truthrdaar 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Customerunhappy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Magic Monday 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Point At You 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Bronze Beast 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Meckes Priority 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Just Because 4.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 Out Making Treble 4.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Magnolia Ridge 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Lone Star Max 4.50 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.