Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lightening Mo 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nicely Unified 6.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Sweet Little Rose 2.50 4 7-1
5 5 Cana Gris 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Queen of the Moon 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Oak Hill Seniorita 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Fitts N Starts 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ironit 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Melody 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Move It Baby 5.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Mystic Storm 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Miss Tulsa 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Sikum 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Cant Attack Arch 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Madam Henny 8.00 4.6 9-1
Miss Tulsa 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Colt’s Brim 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Handsome Harold 12.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Lil Woadie 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Country Guy 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 R T’s Midnight 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Vero Campione 3.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Chaotic Jack 5.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Flash N Class 8.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 El It 8.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Cabochon Treasure 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Swift as I Am 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gilcrease 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Just Might 1.20 3.3 6-1
6 6 Charging 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Ready to Pounce 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Mister Mmmmm 5.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Tape to Tape 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Calabrian Queen 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Savage Darling 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Little Blaze 3.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Scoop 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Prize Debate 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Warm Fuzzies 15.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Heart of Hanisch 8.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Frosted Diamond 4.50 8.7 16-1
5 5 Dreaming Always 8.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Miss Lonelyhearts 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Yockey’s Drivethru 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Emily’s Boy 3.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Contraband Early 6.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Misterholyroller 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Boston Blitz 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Kickin Chip 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Our Majestic 6.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Righteous Freedom 6.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Catch Me T 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Bradfield Baby 4.50 7.8 15-1
5 5 Tussling Charlie 6.00 8.3 16-1
16 16 Razor Crest 8.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Regatta Bay 8.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 One More Sleep 12.00 12.1 23-1
6 6 Kathlyns Phalanx 20.00 13.7 26-1
14 14 Jayde’s Bandit 20.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Oh My Mia 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Plum Tricky 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Flightning Bolt 4.50 6.2 12-1
4 4 Miz Mastery 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Helen’s Little Sis 4.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Sally O’Malley 6.00 7 13-1
8 8 Golden Degree 10.00 8.2 16-1
7 7 Hauntress 15.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Chocolatechocolate 5.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Dreamscape 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kissthemoon 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gun Party 2.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Cornishman 1.60 2 4-1
8 8 Air It Out 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Cascade Cruiser 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Patriarchal 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Falcon Quest 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Elephants Ear 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 On My Honor 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Northern Invader 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Evan Harlan 20.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Kentucky Ghost 12.00 4.7 9-1
15 15 The Reds 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Beuys (IRE) 3.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Brite Outlook 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Deccan Prince (IRE) 8.00 9 17-1
7 7 Verbal 10.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Big Dreaming 15.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Donegal Factor 20.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Freedom’s Way 6.00 10.3 19-1
10 10 Wonderful Justice (GB) 8.00 10.4 20-1
13 13 Pyrenees 3.50 13.1 25-1
14 14 Bo Cruz 2.50 14.7 28-1
2 2 Ardanwood 15.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bertie’s Galaxy 8.00 1 2-1
13 13 Flower Cat 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Helaire 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Blackteca 15.00 1.4 3-1
14 14 Alterana 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Oak Hill Lg 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Gold Punch 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Drewmazing 4.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Scarlettsblackjack 8.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Sono 15.00 10.1 19-1
9 9 Lauri’s Wish 8.00 10.4 20-1
5 5 Sadie’s Light 12.00 10.6 20-1
12 12 Half Again 5.00 11.5 22-1
11 11 Gotmy Mo Jo Workin 8.00 14 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.