Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tiger Dad | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creme de La Chrome | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drifter | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Swede | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happymac | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spotted Bull | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Heart | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Bird | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boogie On | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Differently | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Predicting | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Babe in the Woods | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honduras Passion | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classy Edge | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Principal Anita | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bonnie Lass | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Texas Hottie | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brief Note | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Musical Maestro | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gucci Boy | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Tears | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trabr’s Creed | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nofurtherquestions | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wilson Bay | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take My Allowance | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anotherbottle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thanks Frank | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Quick Buck | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Asymmetric | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Work Order | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cravensworth | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deus Ex Machina | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Isocline | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Last Outlaw | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Worththemoney | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bordinos | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Tap | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Backyard Money | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Verylittlecents | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hypersport | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Always Angels | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taxed | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Rockette | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Palacein | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mairsils First | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dealing Justice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Palmetto Devil | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gust of Wind | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancin Rocket | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guydon | 50.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Angell | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Mo Whining | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honest Opinion | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Without Objection | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chrome Candy | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Violent River | 1.80 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Native Moonshine | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Statler | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Purple Martin S.) – Purple Martin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blue Squall | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brooklynn Drew | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Xtreme Smoke Show | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Asternia | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Xtreme Diva | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tx Women for Arts | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Timbavati | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Haulin Ice | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Girl in Red | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sthenic | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Count It All Joy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ms Carroll County | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Lass | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lassie My Girl | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doughty | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Appealing Addie | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Coincidences | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Whitmore S.) – Whitmore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Traveler | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Kentucky Angel | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Jaxon Traveler | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Ryvit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tejano Twist | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jaxon Traveler | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surveillance | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Osbourne | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cowan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ninja Warrior | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Harlocap | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heroic Move | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocket Can | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Boss | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapsasional | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Pocket | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Red Hot | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alejandro | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warren L | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pats Property | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Runninthestreets | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Who Lu | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Q’s Your Mama | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sparkly | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wildwood Queen | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Mallard | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | This Damsel Mayfly | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Julia | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | J J’s Joy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Mo Mesa | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devlish Gal | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ariel M D | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Aloha Baby | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aurora Gee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.