Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ghostly Act | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Antibes | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Billbernjoejohnick | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Defensor Fortis | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forty Niner Gold | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Getemdusty | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yo Yo Mama | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gungagungagalunga | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unkept Secret | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glory of Chrome | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Millie | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Pasadena S.) – Pasadena S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Island Cruiser | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guy Named Joe | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stay Hot | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Bullingdon | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Truly | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Show Card | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Ms Bo J | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vegas Condo | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Show Card | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Gem | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Disposition | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Brown Fox | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Shushala | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Kate | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shamrockin | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Recalcitrant | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clubhouse Bride | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Can’t Sleep | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dorie Miller | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Panda Peak | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crown of Hope | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Matanzas Creek | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Don’t Get It | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Brother | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fifth Street | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Havildar | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pop d’Oro | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Let Seamus Go | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shot of Courage | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Glory (GB) | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sketchy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Rain | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bartholdy | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indispensable | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nitti (IRE) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (San Carlos S. Presented By Fanduel Tv) – San Carlos S. Presented By Fanduel Tv
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elwood Blues | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Chosen Vron | 0.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost of Midnight | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Super Chief | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m A Gambler (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | McLaren Vale | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | See Through It | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | St Ignacio | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caribbean King | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Telos | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Circleofchampions | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smooth Salute | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Council | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Ransom | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Precision Strike | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lahaina Flavor | 4.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arrogates Spirit | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.