Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Irish Rose 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Princess Midnight 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Collectively 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Strikingly 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Lovin’ On the Run 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Pontresina 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Special Flower 4.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Dancing Mo 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thales 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 American Cat 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Pat’s Paddock Pick 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Crypto Ride 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Man Overboard 2.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Beer Money 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Catmansue 2.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Oobubbakakayo 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Two by Four 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Where It’s At 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Immelmann 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Tom Seaver 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Audible Silence 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ringtone 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Gavea 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Classic Alphie 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Thirsty Lov 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Sunset Storm 15.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Polis 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zoffarelli (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Time to Party 12.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Mackinnon 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Lincoln Hawk (IRE) 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Sharp Aza Tack 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Escape Route 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Nabokov 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Mynumerouno (AUS) 10.00 5 10-1
6 6 Mas Rapido (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Roberta’s Love 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Wishes to Riches 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Sky Sailing 6.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Bit’s Tiger Magic 2.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Epione 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Raising Silver 2.50 SCRATCH
7 98 Chasing Kat 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Irish O’brien S.) – Irish O’brien S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chancery Way 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Stay and Scam 5.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Rose Maddox 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Chismosa 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Scary Fast Ride 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Madiha 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 All Dialed In 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Departure 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 The Bullion Bomber (IRE) 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Midnight Fury 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Zimba Warrior 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Granada Flavor 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Candy for Carmel 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Calm Sea 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Order and Law 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Reckless Spirit 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Living Life 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Nashoba’s Joy 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Mo Rewards 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Heywoods Beach 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Midnight Jostar 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.