Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Compute It 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ava’s Uncle Billy 3.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Sorority Prank 1.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 The Delaware Boyz 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Air Force Cross 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Landauer 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Anthracite 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Union Lights 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Nineteen Oysters 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Red D G P 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Newport Bridge 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Stop the Spread 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Montauk Mystique 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Steppin’ Hawk 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Moonlit Weekend 1.40 1.8 3-1
5 5 Teresa 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Ukrainian Princess 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Debbie Darling 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Maxing the Bank 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flip’s Dream 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Twirling Vine 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Call Bob 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Z Dancer 5.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Mugsy Fury 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Saka Shocka 2.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 A Lister 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Badlands Ruler 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Black Almighty 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Perliano 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Collected Special 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 In a Minute 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Li’l Lang 6.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Solo in Paris 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Royal King 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Uncle George 1.60 1.4 3-1
6 6 Mudville Nine 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bargaining Power 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Sin Nombre 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Grand Again 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Flashy Alex 30.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 G Munning 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tabeguache 2.50 1 2-1
5 6 Guntown 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 7 Good Skate 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Olympic Dreams 2.50 2.4 4-1
1 2 Quality Chic 1.80 3 6-1
3 3 Curlin’s Wisdom 15.00 4.1 8-1
1A 5 Laughing Boy 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Victorious Wave 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Amundson 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Seven Nation Army 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Mister J T 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Sagamore Mischief 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bustin Shout 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Jemography 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Chuck Willis (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.