Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Little Secret | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inablink | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit of Victory | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Amore | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Magic Princess | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Affectionate | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess’s Moment | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Julia | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Lookinforbargains | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Versify | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lookinforbargains | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galileo’s Jewel (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just the Sky | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Cairo | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justice Julia | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Z Train (IRE) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ms Lady de Vega (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tenacious Empress | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | La Fantasma | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Risk Threshold (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Linny Kate | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Ring Thing | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapple Cider | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Khosea | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Breeze | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nana Fanny | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Take It South | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Holly | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battling Bubbles | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shoppingatbloomies | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lte Stark Winter | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Itriedsellingher | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rough Draft | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Border Town | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eyes On Target | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sogno Di Campione (CHI) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rough Draft | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Finn | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fighter in the Win | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mehlek | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justintimeforwine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Admiral Hopper | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | David’s Rose | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nikee Kan | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sonicus | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canadiansweetheart | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peach Cobbler | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Devil At Midnight | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miguel’s Belle | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mywifeknowsitall | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Party Shaker | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sofster | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Haley’s Happy Girl | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reassess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Miss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alybaer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Mercury | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Macha | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miscreant | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Okay Fine | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mint Edition | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Pioneer | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | English Bee | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stat | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | J P Hellish | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burnin Turf | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ruse | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Speed | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bluebirds Over | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Determinedly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.