Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Olaf Rose | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Miss Analyzed | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | St. Olaf Rose | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rita’s Revenge | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pink Chimes | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This Damsel Mayfly | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sophie’s Star | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Pat | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Erumpent | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catalina Sunrise | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Petit Jean | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Copper Echo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Troillet | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J J’s Ranger | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guarani | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commander Storm | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guatape | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wreck It | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Parisian Promise | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catalina Crush | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Always Smiling | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dare Me | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jubilant Joanie | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sammies Samurai | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wildwood Enough | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlottes Way | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thisonesforlove | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Cajun Lady | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be My Huckleberry | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cupid’s Music | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Empire’s Best | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nyquick | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Top of the Street | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nullify | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vigano | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Geno’s Myth | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aztec Fire | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Heights | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chip Shortage | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Risky Spirit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chip Shortage | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mamba Out | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lofty Heights | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wreaking Havoc | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Sweet Candy | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coromandel | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adios Muchachas | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rye Munny | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thorn Crown | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wartime Hero | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Canadian Pharoah | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | W W Crazy | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toma Todo | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Leader of Men | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Make Noise | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cyclone | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Colosi | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Get Back Goldie | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Promising Shoes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lookin for Revenge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Route Runner | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seas of Normandy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We Miss Arlington | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Single Ruler | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rivetage | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Funny Uncle | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’m Your Man | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magna Tap | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Renzo | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Redfield | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Hot Springs S.) – Hot Springs S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Otto the Conqueror | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nash | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carbone | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Fillip | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Grant | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mena | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frost Free | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Count Dracula | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Footprint | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Essex H.) – Essex H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | First Mission | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Tap | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wizard of Westwood | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ain’t Life Grand | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Campaign | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seize the Night | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Time for Trouble | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Escape | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lure Him In | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Street Painter | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Zongs Irish Frost | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aurora Gee | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunnyandseventy | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Snow Flurry | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pneuma | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arden Ar | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Melania T | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Razorback | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Denada | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Double | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | April Flower Bound | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Indian Spirit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.