Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Precision Strike | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost Coast | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gaelic Nation (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baldoro | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get Kraken | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Drinker | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Altai | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hondo Crouch | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cribbage Board | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Damazio | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disobey | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curry | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Constant Conflict | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quagmire Magic | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derecho Dandy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eastbound | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Lucky Man | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What a Dude | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Running Tiger | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blame George | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thompson | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Big | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Letshaveonemore | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Big Bucks | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Handsome Harry | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Suds | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Leyas Candy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bronko Nagurski | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Ransom | 50.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rhythem On Stage | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gypsy Tears | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen’s Code | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | McGregor Lake | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Thorne House | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nocturne Court | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Ur in Trouble | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apple Fest | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Naples | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nocturne Court | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s No Angel | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Theory | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (San Luis Rey S.) – San Luis Rey S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Offlee Naughty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Balladeer | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missed the Cut | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Planetario (BRZ) | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Resultant | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboy Mike | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Hawker | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yellow Brick | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clouseau | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Big Wam | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Swear Dave | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bad Sneakers | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy Mike | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Mammoth | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sneaker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where Is Zizi | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runamileinmyshoes | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Janet | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be a Goldfish | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sparta F. C. | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quantum Innergy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Another Summer | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Naturally Blonde | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.