Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | First Trumpet | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glint | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sounds Like Fun | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remember the Chief | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J D Factor | 1.80 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Armor of Catclaw | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mitole’s Diamond | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foxhole | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Cache | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Clubhouse | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | M B’s Munning | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Messi the Magician | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Independent Paul | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Persistent Danger | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Debate | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jolly Miss Jill | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Grotte | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meraviglioso | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Will Be Famous | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belle of the Ball | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Jal | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duckphat | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shelly | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Phoebe’s Frosty | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 9 | Blake B. | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Wild Banker | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Daddy Knows | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Goldini | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Durkin’s Call | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Pit Boss | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Funkenstein | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Forever Wicked | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Prince of Joy | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Just Step On It | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Brown Don’t Stop | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Big Torpedo | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Retail Man | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 1 | King Freud | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liberty Central | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | That’s Money | 2.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Gaudens | 1.80 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Sugar’s Last Hope | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Kaz Creed | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rock the Weekend | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Truth | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paschal Moon | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Please Be Nice | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caldo Candy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Joker | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick to Accuse | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Kraft | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Refuah | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doc Advantage | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Biogio’s Rose S.) – Biogio’s Rose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Venti Valentine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stonewall Star | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Mine | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetest Princess | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Security Code | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bon Adieu | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Bay | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Mystery | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 14 | Yo Banana Boy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Inonit | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 10 | Vin Santo | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Silver Satin | 2.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Perno | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Schlomo | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 2B | 15 | Land d’Oro | 8.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 11 | Hagrid’s Flame | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 13 | Final Denile | 8.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Ego | 6.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Road Soda | 15.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Slow Down Big Andy | 15.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Tomacon | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Last Drink | 8.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 1A | 12 | Russian Realm | 6.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.