Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Sarasota Queen | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In Our Time | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Field of Blossoms | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Khozanka | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghoz On | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bullet On Target | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Magic Woman | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whats Up Buttercup | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Homer Jones | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Cap | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Preach | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Guaio | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dangerous Driver | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cloak and Dagger | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Wind | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zaptastic | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vinny and Leo | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Downing Street | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bivol | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Charlee | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mimi’s Golden Ring | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Annmarie | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adios Babe | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marthamaywhovier | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Principia | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sophia’s Storm | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Barry the Builder | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Drive | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Please Baby | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Decisive Pride | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daring Reason | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nanga Parbat (GB) | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Phobia | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tio Tony | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wild Flight | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jake’s Affection | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Southern Civility | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | St. Joe Louis (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Brizel | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Abarrio | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palace View (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harrington | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Messa | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | General’s Duty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Motivo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bold Majestic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hope in Him | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bohemian Boy | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Success | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Forester | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Outlaw Country | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dragon’s Brew | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fight | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amor Lejano (ARG) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fortuna Belle | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clay Soldier | 30.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Sunrise | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gitana | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Avatal Hero | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Salsa | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lovin Makes Cents | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amor Y Control | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Melody Of Colors S.) – Melody Of Colors S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Terreno | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Let Them Watch | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Karaya | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pretty Liam | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Belle (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twirling Queen | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dot | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Riparound | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Advocate | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fast Motion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Trumpets | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Cherry Pie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockcrest | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Man Rocket | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kaukokaipuu | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Collaborate | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avant Glory | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scoot Daddy | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | River Dog | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Kiss | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Centuria (IRE) | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Positive Carry (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Katie | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Girl | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Presence | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Privacy Setting (FR) | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marian Cross (GB) | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | On Moonlight Bay | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maghra (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Saccharine | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rogers Park | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Maryann | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.