Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chaos Reigns | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Benzodini | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saturday Starter | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strickland | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Brother Mike | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Native Moonshine | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Auden | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hard Luck Henry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hayek | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crown Thirty | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evie’s Encore | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Laughter | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s to Do | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marco Sunset | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Sweetfantasy | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pivosky | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Loveland | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Appeal | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What’s Her Number | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pewter’s Promise | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlit Lady | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Char | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Queen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Essential Business | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diva Treva | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Checkcashingconnie | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Musicmansandy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Distinctive | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Diamond | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome View | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Astrid | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Music | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | B’s Lil’ Bumblebee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Derby Date | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gambler Rocket | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Megatap | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cathedral Beach | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Windcracker | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Circle Back Jack | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flags Up | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deflater | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Luna | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Chattalot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shady Empire | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Money Run | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mac Daddy Too | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shacks Way | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Table Money | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hi Yah | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alpine Thunder | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speight and Malice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shuffle Dance | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dog Red | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Husker Butch | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Constitution | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Battle | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | City of Clouds | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fire Bryan | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pressure | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Giant | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Colorful Native | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Jack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Never Sway | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bertie’s Cause | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Sister Sue | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Popperina | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pioneer Parade | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | De’ Ans Eighty | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Fabulous | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Commander | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amazing Success | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Preacher’s Kid | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yeagers Strategy | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hayahlookatme | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Classic Cinema | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bet On Tiz | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | String Theory | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natorade | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Getty’s Revenge | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Safety | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clear Echo | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Great Barrier | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Red River | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.