Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 28, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Andy Cant 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 No Surrender 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Uncle Eddie 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 King of France 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Growth Mindset 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Crown That Saint 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Noble One 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Pappou’s Laugh 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Value Area 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Low Society 3.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Status Seeker 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 City Blocks 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Patricia Ann 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Antenna 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Starry Midnight 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Maggie 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Perpetual Praise 5.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 I Feel the Need 1.60 3.9 7-1
7 7 Argentina Girl 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Strange Fruit 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Luna Loca 30.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Synonymous 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Grab the Glory 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Sendera 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Zhen Lou 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Lucky and Gorgeous 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Stormin Heist 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dancing Liana 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 War Terminatrix 15.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Account Receivable 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Sonia’s Flame 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ocean Gateway 2.50 1 2-1
3 2 Bon Adieu 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Toned Up 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 3 Fancy Azteca 3.00 4.6 9-1
1A 8 Kid’s Last Laugh 3.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Sweet Mystery 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 In My Opinion 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Whistler’s Style 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Bingood to Knowya 5.00 1 2-1
8 9 The Mighty Don 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Qorokwe 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Vaunted 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 8 Hey Toby 3.00 4.5 9-1
1A 6 Mortgage Rate 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 2 Go Grad 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 English Storm 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Somama Beach 20.00 8 15-1
9 10 Onofrio 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 10 Sail With the Wind 6.00 1 2-1
3 2 Scoring Chance 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Chasing Daylight 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Reigning Chick 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Speightful Lily 0.80 4 7-1
5 5 Saratoga Kisses 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Jsk Lucky’s Pushpa 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 3 Lady Fortuna 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Bella Principessa 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Freddymo Factor 30.00 6.7 13-1
Saratoga Kisses 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Capone 1.40 1 2-1
11 11 Clem Labine 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Prince James 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 One More Brew 30.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Mount Travers 6.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Winning Drive 12.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 My Friends Beer 10.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Quickflash 20.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Datesfreedom 15.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Anything Pazible 20.00 10.1 19-1
9 9 Bold Medication 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.