Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Emerald Forest | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saffa’s Day | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cees Get Degrees | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kupp | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost in Rome | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Captain | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trafalgar | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Call Ray | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Night | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Predicted | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Glimpse | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thunderian | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Malu | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream On Cara | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Splendid One | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dramatic Effect | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jayla | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Krystalheir | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Gorgeous | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Reward | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | What’s Up Bro | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kunshan Bridge | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bezos | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chileno | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Express | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mandatory | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tavin | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Eyed Warrior | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Up | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love Like Crazy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sun and Wind | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Glo | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bornforgreatness | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dame Catherine | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amy’s Light | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Locke and Key | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Boy Al | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Donegal Surges | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Institute | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Cent Town | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D’ont Lose Cruz | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Apollo Rising | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gut Feeling | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Collect From Ike | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Unity | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grandpa’s Kid | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What a Blast | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Memphis | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magnificent Mile | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 11 | Thank You Jon | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Pineapple Man | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Hammer | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Agility | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Chalky Cat | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2B | 10 | G Munning | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Freeze Pop | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Youbetterbejoking | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 7 | South Street | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dads Good Runner | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.