Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Better Luck | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Cooper | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paisan | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bernardo’s Legacy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Banana Brian | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Not a Prayer | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sleipnir | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Marco T. | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Perilous | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Haley’s Honor | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Spun | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lionza | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rapid Tula | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil’ Hayadoin | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gallop d’Hermes | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wudhooh | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cassiopeia | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Izzy Sweet Girl (IRE) | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nimmo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dollar Liberty | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Marks Spirit | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Haberdashery | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blazing Tyreek | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiverton | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth an Easy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Broken Spur | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ninetyfour Expos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gambling Holiday | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backchat | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Mo Town | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just for Luck | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Italian Symphony | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Victors Valiant | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be Like Clint | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Treat | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rotondo | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Eyes | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Minsky | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Dreamer | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devil At Midnight | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Floribunda | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Tricks | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Channel Loop | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucevan La Stelle | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vayesta | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corrin Peak | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Some of It | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joyful Eliza (GB) | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vine Grove | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Allovernow Babyblu | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Carmelina | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Adios Now | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ellie’s Boyfriend | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jabran | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Legal Tender | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Chato | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breezer | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xy Speed | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Filo Di Arianna (BRZ) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bring Theband Home | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whenigettoheaven | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extendo | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mamba On Three | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xy Speed | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Full Disclosure | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phantom Smoke | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Palmetto Fury | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parade Down Broad | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lace Curtain | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shining Skye | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Variegate | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heirozan | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emily’s On Fire | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.