Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 30, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chuck Willis (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Joking Way 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Ryan’s Cat 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Ego Man 4.50 6.1 12-1
3 3 Optic Way 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Co Conspirator 30.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Gentleman Joe 2.50 7.9 15-1
8 8 Holdtheflight 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Aggregation 1.40 1 2-1
6 5 Power Seeker 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 8 Champions Dream 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Alternate Reality 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 American Law 8.00 5 9-1
3 2 Wake Surf 4.00 6.2 12-1
1 6 Divine Armor 4.50 6.4 12-1
1A 7 Synthesis 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bustin Bay 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Movie Moxy 1.80 4.4 8-1
5 5 Killy Start 30.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Run Devil 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Warrior’s Ransom 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Royal Whisper 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 I’m Buzzy 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Citizen Mack 4.50 1 2-1
1 2 Rudy Rudy Rudy 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Heard On Thestreet 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 The Elusive Drwong 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Model S 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Mr. Georgie 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 10 My Man Woody 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Alpha Cat 4.00 8.8 17-1
1A 7 Shakin the Belle 6.00 9.1 17-1
7 8 Castlecove Spirit 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2B 7 Printrack 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Big Engine 3.50 2.4 4-1
5 4 Poppy’s Pride 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Persistent Danger 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 5 First Deputy 1.20 4.7 9-1
3 2 Colonel Vargo 4.50 5.1 10-1
1A 10 Paschal Moon 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 8 Bourbon’s Hope 12.00 7.8 15-1
4 3 Dontbelate 12.00 8.7 16-1
8 9 Icy Reply 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Iron Works 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Complete Agenda 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Six Percent 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Mama’s Gold 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Rungius 2.50 5.6 10-1
7 7 Bold Victory 12.00 6 11-1
11 11 Allaboutthemoney 8.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Majestic Frontier 5.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Sittin On Go 4.50 8.7 16-1
9 9 Chelonian 30.00 10.2 19-1
3 3 Strong Light 50.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Liberty Flame 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sue Ellen Mishkin 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Jackson’s Dixie 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Mystic Seaport 2.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Watch Your Tone 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Ruvies in Time 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Suspended Campaign 50.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Jackie the Joker 15.00 9 17-1
1 1 Carroll Girl 12.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Gringotts 50.00 9.8 18-1
5 5 A New Peace 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Excelsior S.) – Excelsior S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kuchar 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Olympic Dreams 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Kinetic Sky 2.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Rocco Strong 10.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Messier 4.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Curbstone 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Quality Chic 4.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Laughing Boy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Magnolia Midnight 12.00 1 2-1
11 11 Lookin At Roses 5.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 Night Effect 30.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Centavo 15.00 4 8-1
10 10 Magical Ways 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Overly Critical 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Tetsu 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Kingdom 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Bossmakinbossmoves 10.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Margin of Air 4.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Khafre 15.00 9.5 18-1
13 13 Kaz Sugar Bank 15.00 11.5 22-1
3 3 Storming Chrome 20.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.