Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joking Way | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ryan’s Cat | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ego Man | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Optic Way | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Co Conspirator | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gentleman Joe | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holdtheflight | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Aggregation | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Power Seeker | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Champions Dream | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Alternate Reality | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | American Law | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Wake Surf | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Divine Armor | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Synthesis | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Bay | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Movie Moxy | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Killy Start | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Devil | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior’s Ransom | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Whisper | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Buzzy | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Citizen Mack | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Rudy Rudy Rudy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heard On Thestreet | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | The Elusive Drwong | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Model S | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Georgie | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 10 | My Man Woody | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alpha Cat | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Shakin the Belle | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Castlecove Spirit | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2B | 7 | Printrack | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Engine | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Poppy’s Pride | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Persistent Danger | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 5 | First Deputy | 1.20 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Colonel Vargo | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Paschal Moon | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Bourbon’s Hope | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Dontbelate | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Icy Reply | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Iron Works | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Complete Agenda | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Six Percent | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mama’s Gold | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rungius | 2.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Victory | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Allaboutthemoney | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Frontier | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sittin On Go | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chelonian | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Light | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Liberty Flame | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jackson’s Dixie | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Seaport | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watch Your Tone | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ruvies in Time | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suspended Campaign | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jackie the Joker | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carroll Girl | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gringotts | 50.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A New Peace | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Excelsior S.) – Excelsior S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kuchar | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olympic Dreams | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kinetic Sky | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocco Strong | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Messier | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curbstone | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Chic | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Boy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Midnight | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lookin At Roses | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Night Effect | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Centavo | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Magical Ways | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Overly Critical | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tetsu | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kingdom | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Margin of Air | 4.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khafre | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kaz Sugar Bank | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storming Chrome | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.